National League North
Gameweek
8
-
Nathan Woodthorpe
85'
-
Lee Lucas
43'
-
Lee Lucas
44'
-
Jay Foulston
65'
-
Jacob Maddox
78'
Chester FC vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.58% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result
Chester FC
57.77%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
21.58%
Merthyr Town
20.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
57.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.19%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
19.81%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
58.7%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 2.5
41.3%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 3.5
36.1%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
63.9%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
22.11%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
77.89%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Chester FC
44.48%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
37.66%
▼
(-0.04)
Merthyr Town
17.86%
▲
(+0.06)
Team To Score First
Chester FC
63.66%
▼
(-0.13)
No Goal
5.02%
▲
(+0.04)
Merthyr Town
31.32%
▲
(+0.09)
Corners
Over 8
63.7%
▼
(-0.22)
Equal 8
10.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
25.43%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 9
52.1%
▼
(-0.22)
Equal 9
11.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
36.3%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 10.5
40.75%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 10.5
59.25%
▲
(+0.19)
Chester FC Goals
Over 1.5
56.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
43.32%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
29.76%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
70.24%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
12.66%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
87.34%
▲
(+0.07)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5
58.24%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
41.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
26.11%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
73.89%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
8.59%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
91.41%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
2.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
97.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Chester FC
57.78%
Draw
21.58%
Merthyr Town
20.71%
Chester FC
2-1
@
10.68%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 57.78%
1-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 57.78%
Draw
1-1
@
9.88%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 21.58%
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 21.58%
Merthyr Town
1-2
@
5.41%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.71%
Head to Head
National League North
Gameweek
38
-
Matthew Harris
11'
-
Finley Shrimpton
5'
-
Dylan Mottley-Henry
90'+7'
National League North