National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
The Silverlands

Buxton vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Oxford City 2 - 3 Buxton
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Sisa Tuntulwana

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Jacob Maddox

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buxton win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw has a probability of 19.23% and a win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.6%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it is 1-2 (5.4%).

Result

Buxton 61.63% (-0.04)
Draw 19.23% (+0.02)
Merthyr Town 19.14% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.55% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.71% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.29% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 64.44% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 35.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 41.21% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 58.79% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 26.36% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.64% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Buxton 48.08% (+0.05)
Draw 34.13% (-0.09)
Merthyr Town 17.8% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Buxton 64.34% (-0.07)
No Goal 3.74%
Merthyr Town 31.92% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 60.33% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.72% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.95% (-0.08)
Over 9 49.2% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.14% (+0.03)
Under 9 39.67% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 38.53% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 61.47% (-0.04)

Buxton Goals

Over 1.5 61.96% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 38.04% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 34.77% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 65.23% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 15.49% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 84.51% (+0.03)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.57% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.43% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.81% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.19% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.95% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.05% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.85%
Under 3.5 97.15%

Score analysis

Buxton 61.63%
Draw 19.24%
Merthyr Town 19.14%
Buxton
2-1 @ 10.98% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-2 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 15.48% (-0.02)
Total : 61.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74%
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.24%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 19.14%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Penydarren Park
  • Lee Lucas 6' goal
  • goal Johnny Johnston 13'
  • goal Will Flint 65'
  • goal Zak Gilsenan 75'
National League North
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Kieran Burton 17' redcard
  • Tate Campbell 88' goal
  • goal Cole Lewis Jarvis 29'
  • goal Lewys Twamley 35'
FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Diego De Girolamo 5' goal
  • Jason Gilchrist 88' goal