National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Tony Weston 17' goal
  • Will Trueman 74' goal
  • goal Jay Foulston 45'

Buxton vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Oxford City 2 - 3 Buxton
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Sisa Tuntulwana

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jacob Maddox

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.23% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Buxton 61.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 19.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Merthyr Town 19.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.55% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 64.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 35.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 41.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 58.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 26.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.64% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Buxton 48.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 34.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Merthyr Town 17.8% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Buxton 64.34% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 3.74%
Merthyr Town 31.92% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 60.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 49.2% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 39.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 10.5 38.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 61.47% ▼ (-0.04)

Buxton Goals

Over 1.5 61.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 38.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 34.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 65.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 15.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 84.51% ▲ (+0.03)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.85%
Under 3.5 97.15%

Score analysis

Buxton 61.63%
Draw 19.24%
Merthyr Town 19.14%
Buxton
2-1 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 61.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74%
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.24%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 19.14%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Penydarren Park
  • Lee Lucas 6' goal
  • goal Johnny Johnston 13'
  • goal Will Flint 65'
  • goal Zak Gilsenan 75'
National League North
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Kieran Burton 17' redcard
  • Tate Campbell 88' goal
  • goal Cole Lewis Jarvis 29'
  • goal Lewys Twamley 35'
FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Diego De Girolamo 5' goal
  • Jason Gilchrist 88' goal