National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The New Eyrie
  • Reece Evans 45'+1' goal
  • George Moncur 70' goal
  • goal Johnny Johnston 2'
  • redcard Johnny Johnston 54'

Bedford vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 2 - 3 Darlington

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 1 - 1 Buxton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Bedford had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Bedford win was 1-0 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Bedford 35.17% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 24.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Buxton 39.97% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.99% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.83% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 23.17% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 53.5% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 46.5% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 31.47% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 68.53% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 18.06% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 81.94% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Bedford 29.2%
Draw 40.42%
Buxton 30.38%

Team To Score First

Bedford 46.17% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Buxton 47.31% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.47%
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 26.55%
Over 9 50.85%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 37.53%
Over 10.5 39.59%
Under 10.5 60.4%

Bedford Goals

Over 1.5 36.63% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 63.37% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 14.5% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 85.5% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.49% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.51% ▲ (+0.11)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 72.6% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 27.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 41.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 17.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bedford 35.19%
Draw 24.87%
Buxton 39.96%
Bedford
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 35.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.87%
Buxton
1-2 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 39.96%

Head to Head

National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Johnny Johnston 22' goal
  • Ashton Mee 40' goal
  • Johnny Johnston 41' goal
National League North
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT