National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Dan Ward 90'+3' goal

Chester FC vs Spalding United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Darlington 0 - 1 Chester
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
M. Bogle-Campbell

Spalding United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Spalding 0 - 0 Macclesfield
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Bartosz Cybulski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Spalding United had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Spalding United win was 0-1 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Chester FC 48.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 23.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Spalding United 28.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 45.83%
Over 3.5 31.81%
Under 3.5 68.19%
Over 4.5 18.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.34% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chester FC 33.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 43.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Spalding United 23.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Chester FC 51.59% ▲ (+0.10)
No Goal 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Spalding United 41.73% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 60.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 28.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 49.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 39.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 38.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 61.68% ▲ (+0.01)

Chester FC Goals

Over 1.5 46.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 53.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.95%
Under 3.5 92.05%

Spalding United Goals

Over 0.5 63.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 36.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 31.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.28%
Under 3.5 95.72%

Score analysis

Chester FC 48.06%
Draw 23.58%
Spalding United 28.37%
Chester FC
2-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 7.94%
Total : 48.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.58%
Spalding United
0-1 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 28.37%