National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • goal M. Bogle-Campbell 57'

Darlington vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 2 - 3 Darlington

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 2 - 0 King's Lynn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Darlington 31.2% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 24.84% ▼ (-0.27)
Chester FC 43.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.12% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.85% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 24.15% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 53.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 46.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 30.39% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 3.5 69.61% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 4.5 17.53% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 4.5 82.47% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Darlington 25.69% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 40.04% ▼ (-1.00)
Chester FC 34.27% ▲ (+0.68)

Team To Score First

Darlington 42.63% ▼ (-0.53)
No Goal 6.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Chester FC 50.5% ▲ (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 50.34% ▼ (-3.95)
Equal 8 11.36% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 8 38.29% ▲ (+4.36)
Over 9 39.4% ▼ (-3.22)
Equal 9 10.94% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 9 49.66% ▲ (+3.95)
Over 10.5 29.66% ▼ (-2.34)
Under 10.5 70.34% ▲ (+2.35)

Darlington Goals

Over 1.5 33.53% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 66.47% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 13.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 86.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 74.62% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 25.38% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 43.58% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 56.42% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 19.74% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 80.26% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 6.98% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 93.02% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Darlington 31.21%
Draw 24.83%
Chester FC 43.92%
Darlington
1-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 31.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 24.83%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.27)
1-2 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.35)
0-2 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.37)
Total : 43.92%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Dylan Mottley-Henry 10' goal
  • Finley Shrimpton 90'+8' goal
  • goal Toby Lees 64'
National League North
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Tom Peers 49' goal
  • Tom Peers 49' goal
  • Connor Woods 64' goal
  • Connor Woods 64' goal
  • goal Will McGowan 13'
  • goal Will McGowan 13'
National League North Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Will Hatfield 27' yellowcard
  • Cedric Main 50' goal
  • Ali bin Mohamed Ali Al Shabeb 75' yellowcard
  • Cameron Salkeld 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Hugill 33'
  • yellowcard Harrison Burke 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
National League North Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Joel Taylor 17' goal
  • Cameron Salkeld 39' goal
  • Jonny Ngandu 42' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 57'
  • goal George Glendon 70'