National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 0 - 3 Hereford
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Harrison Iwunze

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 1 - 0 Spalding
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
M. Bogle-Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result

Hereford United 35.4% (-0.04)
Draw 26.53%
Chester FC 38.07% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.07% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.93% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.36%
Under 2.5 48.64%
Over 3.5 28.32%
Under 3.5 71.68%
Over 4.5 15.68%
Under 4.5 84.32%

First Half Winner

Hereford United 29.99% (-0.02)
Draw 40.08%
Chester FC 29.93% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 44.95% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.32%
Chester FC 47.73% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.33% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 27.38%
Over 9 49.48% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 38.67% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 38.12% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 61.88% (-0.01)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 36.15% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.85% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.18% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.82% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.46% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.54% (+0.02)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.32% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.68% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.37% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.83% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hereford United 35.39%
Draw 26.53%
Chester FC 38.08%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.32% (-0.01)
Total : 35.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.53%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.14% (+0.01)
Total : 38.08%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 3 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Justin Donawa 16' goal
  • Cormac Daly 31' goal
  • Keziah Martin 39' goal
  • Cormac Daly 77' goal
  • George Munday 80' goal
  • goal Finley Shrimpton 5'
  • yellowcard 36'
  • yellowcard Connor Woods 36'
National League North
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Woods 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aaron Skinner 59'
National League North Gameweek 42
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jaiden White 49' goal
  • Jason Cowley 90'+3' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 44'
  • goal Ben Woods 53'
National League North Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Charlie Caton 1' goal
  • Tom Peers 29' yellowcard
  • Connell Rawlinson 51' yellowcard
  • Reece Daly 55' yellowcard
  • Tom Peers 62' goal
  • Charlie Caton 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Cowley 71'
  • yellowcard Tate Campbell 85'
  • yellowcard Ty Deacon 88'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Andrew Williams 75' goal
  • goal Elliott Whitehouse 14'
National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Declan Weeks 35' goal
  • goal Lassana Nalatche Mendes 84'
  • goal Aurio Teixeira 88'