National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Billy Phillips 26' goal
  • goal Billy Waters 40'

Hereford United vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 0 - 3 Hereford
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Harrison Iwunze

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 1 - 0 Spalding
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
M. Bogle-Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 35.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 26.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Chester FC 38.13% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.85% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.02% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 51.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 71.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.38% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 30% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 40.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Chester FC 29.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 44.92% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Chester FC 47.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 27.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 49.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 38.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 38.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 61.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 36.06% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 63.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 14.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 85.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.57% ▲ (+0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hereford United 35.34%
Draw 26.52%
Chester FC 38.12%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 8.72%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 35.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.52%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 38.12%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 3 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Justin Donawa 16' goal
  • Cormac Daly 31' goal
  • Keziah Martin 39' goal
  • Cormac Daly 77' goal
  • George Munday 80' goal
  • goal Finley Shrimpton 5'
  • yellowcard 36'
  • yellowcard Connor Woods 36'
National League North
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Woods 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aaron Skinner 59'
National League North Gameweek 42
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jaiden White 49' goal
  • Jason Cowley 90'+3' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 44'
  • goal Ben Woods 53'
National League North Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Charlie Caton 1' goal
  • Tom Peers 29' yellowcard
  • Connell Rawlinson 51' yellowcard
  • Reece Daly 55' yellowcard
  • Tom Peers 62' goal
  • Charlie Caton 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Cowley 71'
  • yellowcard Tate Campbell 85'
  • yellowcard Ty Deacon 88'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Andrew Williams 75' goal
  • goal Elliott Whitehouse 14'
National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Declan Weeks 35' goal
  • goal Lassana Nalatche Mendes 84'
  • goal Aurio Teixeira 88'