Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.45pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Hereford 0 - 3 Solihull

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 1 - 4 West Brom

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Shrewsbury Town has a probability of 35% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win is 0-1 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.5%).

Result

Hereford United 37.5% (-3.26)
Draw 27.5% (+0.54)
Shrewsbury Town 35% (+2.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.95% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 27.05% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 49.91% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 50.09% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28.93% (+0.77)
Under 3.5 71.07% (-0.78)
Over 4.5 16.27% (+0.69)
Under 4.5 83.73% (-0.69)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 27.36% (-2.79)
Draw 44.35% (+0.38)
Shrewsbury Town 28.29% (+2.41)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 44.9% (-3.31)
No Goal 9.13% (+0.71)
Shrewsbury Town 45.97% (+2.61)

Corners

Over 8 64.24% (-0.27)
Equal 8 11.2% (+0.11)
Under 8 24.55% (+0.16)
Over 9 52.18% (-0.36)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.11)
Under 9 35.76% (+0.26)
Over 10.5 40.36% (-0.44)
Under 10.5 59.64% (+0.44)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 37.84% (-2.17)
Under 1.5 62.16% (+2.17)
Over 2.5 15.48% (-1.13)
Under 2.5 84.52% (+1.12)
Over 3.5 5.5% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 94.5% (+0.46)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% (+1.61)
Under 0.5 32.27% (-1.61)
Over 1.5 35.45% (+2.59)
Under 1.5 64.55% (-2.58)
Over 2.5 14.58% (+1.66)
Under 2.5 85.42% (-1.66)
Over 3.5 4.87% (+0.98)
Under 3.5 95.13% (-0.99)

Score analysis

Hereford United 37.51%
Draw 27.5%
Shrewsbury Town 35%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.69)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.70)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.63)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.28)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.48)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.26% (-0.50)
Total : 37.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.45)
0-0 @ 9.13% (+0.71)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.03)
Total : 27.5%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 8.85% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 5.37% (+0.50)
1-3 @ 3.48% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.30)
Other @ 4.63% (+0.95)
Total : 35%

Head to Head

League Two
Jan 28, 2012 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Terry Gornell 16'
League Two
Sep 10, 2011 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marvin Morgan 7' goal
  • Mark Wright 48' goal
  • Terry Gornell 62' redcard
  • Marvin Morgan 79' goal
League Two
Apr 23, 2011 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Stuart Fleetwood 59' yellowcard
  • goal James Collins 27'
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 56'
League Two
Nov 23, 2010 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Wright 14' goal
  • Mark Wright 64' goal
  • Tope Obadeyi 67' yellowcard
  • Shane Cansdell-Sherriff 72' goal
  • Mark Wright 77' goal
  • yellowcard Kenny Lunt 53'
  • redcard Ryan Green 83'
  • yellowcard Byron Webster 85'
League Two
Feb 13, 2010 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Kelvin Langmead 15' goal
  • Shane Cansdell-Sherriff 24' goal
  • Graham Coughlan 79' goal
  • goal Leon Constantine 5'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lunt 53'
League Two
Nov 24, 2009 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ryan Valentine 5' goal
  • Darren Jones 10' yellowcard
  • Gavin McCallum 30' goal
  • Ryan Valentine 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin McIntyre 5'
  • goal Waide Fairhurst 45'
  • yellowcard Shane Cansdell-Sherriff 70'