National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Jay Foulston 61' yellowcard
  • Ivan John 74' yellowcard
  • Jay Foulston 77' goal
  • Elis Watts 90'+2' goal
  • Elis Watts 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Adan George 55'

Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 2 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jacob Maddox

Macclesfield Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Macclesfield 3 - 0 Hebburn Town
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Adan George

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Macclesfield Town had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Macclesfield Town win was 1-2 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Merthyr Town 38.24% ▼ (-0.38)
Draw 24.49% ▲ (+0.20)
Macclesfield Town 37.22% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.76% ▲ (+0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.32% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 17.68% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 62% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 2.5 38% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 39.26% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 3.5 60.74% ▼ (-1.22)
Over 4.5 24.12% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 4.5 75.88% ▼ (-1.02)

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 30.95% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 38.45% ▼ (-0.37)
Macclesfield Town 30.61% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 47.05% ▼ (-1.99)
No Goal 4.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Macclesfield Town 47.97% ▲ (+1.93)

Corners

Over 8 59.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.42% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 8 28.71% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 9 48.03% ▼ (-0.61)
Equal 9 11.84% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 9 40.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 36.8% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 10.5 63.2% ▲ (+1.10)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 44.15% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 55.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 20.72% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 79.28% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 7.71% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 3.5 92.29% ▼ (-0.52)

Macclesfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.16% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 26.84% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 44% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 56% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 20.18% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 2.5 79.82% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 7.46% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 3.5 92.54% ▼ (-0.48)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 38.23%
Draw 24.5%
Macclesfield Town 37.22%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.31)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 38.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 24.5%
Macclesfield Town
1-2 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.24)
2-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head

National League North
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Tom Handley 67' goal
  • goal Josh Kay 70'
  • goal James Edmondson 87'
National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT