National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 2 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jacob Maddox

Macclesfield Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Macclesfield 3 - 0 Hebburn Town
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Luke Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 37.55% and a draw has a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).

Result

Merthyr Town 37.55% (+0.08)
Draw 24.06% (-0.18)
Macclesfield Town 38.39% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.15% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 18.27% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 61.13% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 38.87% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 38.32% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 61.68% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 23.24%
Under 4.5 76.76%

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 29.93% (+0.13)
Draw 39.03%
Macclesfield Town 31.04% (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 47.88% (-0.51)
No Goal 4.92% (-0.04)
Macclesfield Town 47.2% (+0.55)

Corners

Over 8 59.26% (+0.30)
Equal 8 10.89% (-0.02)
Under 8 29.84% (-0.29)
Over 9 48.03% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.23% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.74% (-0.30)
Over 10.5 37.38% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 62.62% (-0.27)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.9%
Under 1.5 57.1%
Over 2.5 19.69% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.96% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.04% (+0.02)

Macclesfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.77% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.23% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.29% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.71% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.07% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.4% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.6% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 37.55%
Draw 24.07%
Macclesfield Town 38.39%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.65% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.04% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.97% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.9%
Other @ 6.73% (+0.03)
Total : 37.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.03)
Total : 24.07%
Macclesfield Town
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.05% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.36% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.36% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.17% (-0.03)
Total : 38.39%

Head to Head

National League North
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Tom Handley 67' goal
  • goal Josh Kay 70'
  • goal James Edmondson 87'
National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT