National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • goal Paul Lewis 52'

Chester FC vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 1 Chester
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
M. Bogle-Campbell

Morecambe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Morecambe 2 - 1 Telford
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Teddy Collis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.03% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Chester FC 60.72%
Draw 22.03%
Morecambe 17.25% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.78% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 21.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 56.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 32.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 67.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 20.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 79.18% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Chester FC 45.83%
Draw 38.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Morecambe 15.73% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Chester FC 64.98% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 6.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Morecambe 28.91% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 67.11% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 9.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 22.98% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 9 56.28% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 9 10.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.89% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 45.39% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 54.61% ▲ (+0.22)

Chester FC Goals

Over 1.5 57.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 42.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 30.65% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 69.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 14.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 85.82% ▼ (-0.07)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 51.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 48.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Chester FC 60.71%
Draw 22.03%
Morecambe 17.24%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 13.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 60.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.03%
Morecambe
1-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.17%
1-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 17.24%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 14, 2009 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Aaron Taylor 15' goal
  • Wayne Curtis 32' goal
  • Wayne Curtis 44' goal
  • yellowcard Glenn Rule 39'
  • yellowcard Jay Harris 45'
  • goal Laurence Wilson 51'
  • yellowcard Paul Linwood 85'
League Two
Nov 15, 2008 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paul Linwood 17' yellowcard
  • Laurence Wilson 41' yellowcard
  • Eddie Johnson 60' goal
  • Kevin Ellison 82' redcard
  • Richie Partridge 87' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Stanley 32'
  • goal Rene Howe 56'
  • yellowcard Danny Adams 79'
  • redcard Danny Adams 83'
League Two
Dec 26, 2007 3.00pm
5
3
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Jim Bentley 18' goal
  • Garry Thompson 20' goal
  • Matthew Blinkhorn 25' goal
  • Craig Stanley 44' yellowcard
  • Carl Baker 45' goal
  • Jim Bentley 70' goal
  • goal Kevin Ellison 5'
  • yellowcard Paul Linwood 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Roberts 45'
  • goal Kevin Ellison 73'
League Two
Sep 7, 2007 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Linwood 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Garry Thompson 76'
  • yellowcard Danny Adams 84'
  • goal Carl Baker 90'