National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Teddy Collis 2' goal
  • Teddy Collis 44' goal
  • goal L. Moult 88'

Morecambe vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Radcliffe 2 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Teddy Collis

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Telford 1 - 1 Hednesford
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Matty Stenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 29.61%
Draw 24.52%
AFC Telford United 45.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.57%
Under 1.5 22.43%
Over 2.5 55.11%
Under 2.5 44.89%
Over 3.5 31.96%
Under 3.5 68.04%
Over 4.5 18.82%
Under 4.5 81.18%

First Half Winner

Morecambe 23.11%
Draw 41.2%
AFC Telford United 35.69%

Team To Score First

Morecambe 39.13%
No Goal 6.37%
AFC Telford United 54.5%

Corners

Over 8 64.55%
Equal 8 10.49%
Under 8 24.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 53.28%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 35.45%
Over 10.5 42.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 57.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 32.44%
Under 1.5 67.56%
Over 2.5 12.38%
Under 2.5 87.62%
Over 3.5 3.53%
Under 3.5 96.47%

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 76.52%
Under 0.5 23.48%
Over 1.5 46.46%
Under 1.5 53.54%
Over 2.5 22.04%
Under 2.5 77.96%
Over 3.5 8.97%
Under 3.5 91.03%

Score analysis

Morecambe 29.6%
Draw 24.51%
AFC Telford United 45.87%
Morecambe
2-1 @ 7.17%
1-0 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.26%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 29.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.51%
AFC Telford United
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-1 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 2.73%
Other @ 8.77%
Total : 45.87%