National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Radcliffe 2 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Matty Daly

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Telford 1 - 1 Hednesford
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Matty Stenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 29.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 2-1 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).

Result

Morecambe 29.61%
Draw 24.52%
AFC Telford United 45.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.57%
Under 1.5 22.43%
Over 2.5 55.11%
Under 2.5 44.89%
Over 3.5 31.96%
Under 3.5 68.04%
Over 4.5 18.82%
Under 4.5 81.18%

First Half Winner

Morecambe 23.11%
Draw 41.2%
AFC Telford United 35.69%

Team To Score First

Morecambe 39.13%
No Goal 6.37%
AFC Telford United 54.5%

Corners

Over 8 64.55%
Equal 8 10.49%
Under 8 24.97% (+0.01)
Over 9 53.28%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 35.45%
Over 10.5 42.16% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 57.84% (+0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 32.44%
Under 1.5 67.56%
Over 2.5 12.38%
Under 2.5 87.62%
Over 3.5 3.53%
Under 3.5 96.47%

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 76.52%
Under 0.5 23.48%
Over 1.5 46.46%
Under 1.5 53.54%
Over 2.5 22.04%
Under 2.5 77.96%
Over 3.5 8.97%
Under 3.5 91.03%

Score analysis

Morecambe 29.6%
Draw 24.51%
AFC Telford United 45.87%
Morecambe
2-1 @ 7.17%
1-0 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.26%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 29.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.51%
AFC Telford United
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-1 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 2.73%
Other @ 8.77%
Total : 45.87%