National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
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HT : 0 0
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AFC Telford United vs Hednesford Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 2 Telford

Hednesford Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Hednesford 2 - 2 Southport

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Hednesford Town has a probability of 26.78% and a draw has a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win is 0-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

AFC Telford United 49.11% (+0.15)
Draw 24.15% (+0.01)
Hednesford Town 26.78% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.13% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.87% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 22.13% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 55.41% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 44.59% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.28% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.72% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.73% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.27% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

AFC Telford United 37.73% (-0.03)
Draw 37.16% (+0.03)
Hednesford Town 25.1% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

AFC Telford United 55.61% (-0.17)
No Goal 6.44% (+0.06)
Hednesford Town 37.95% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 50.71% (-0.05)
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 37.2% (+0.06)
Over 9 39.05% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 49.29% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 28.73% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.27% (+0.04)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 1.5 48.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.04% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.87%
Under 2.5 76.13%
Over 3.5 9.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.95% (+0.02)

Hednesford Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.13% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 36.87% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 30.84% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 69.16% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.19% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 88.81% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.83% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.17% (+0.04)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 49.12%
Draw 24.15%
Hednesford Town 26.78%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 9.17% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.85% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 8.96%
Total : 49.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.44% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 24.15%
Hednesford Town
0-1 @ 6.57% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.74% (-0.02)
Total : 26.78%