National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Matty Stenson 65' goal
  • goal Jai Curran-Nicholls 74'

AFC Telford United vs Hednesford Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 2 Telford
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Matty Stenson

Hednesford Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Hednesford 2 - 2 Southport
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Omari Sterling-James

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 0-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

AFC Telford United 49.11% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 24.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Hednesford Town 26.78% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.13% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 22.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 55.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 44.59% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.73% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.27% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

AFC Telford United 37.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 37.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Hednesford Town 25.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

AFC Telford United 55.61% ▼ (-0.17)
No Goal 6.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Hednesford Town 37.95% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 50.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 37.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 39.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 49.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 28.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.27% ▲ (+0.04)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 1.5 48.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.87%
Under 2.5 76.13%
Over 3.5 9.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Hednesford Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.13% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 36.87% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 30.84% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 69.16% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 88.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 49.12%
Draw 24.15%
Hednesford Town 26.78%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 8.96%
Total : 49.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.15%
Hednesford Town
0-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.78%