National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Keys Park

Hednesford Town vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Hednesford 3 - 4 Scarborough Ath

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 1 - 1 Buxton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Southport has a probability of 30.84% and a draw has a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Southport win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result

Hednesford Town 44.62% (+2.20)
Draw 24.54% (-0.16)
Southport 30.84% (-2.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.62% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.17% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 22.83% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 54.3% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 45.7% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 31.92% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 68.08% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 18.73% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 81.27% (+0.23)

First Half Winner

Hednesford Town 36.01%
Draw 40.44%
Southport 23.55%

Team To Score First

Hednesford Town 52.94% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.41% (+0.13)
Southport 40.65% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 54.76%
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 34.04%
Over 9 43.62%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 45.24%
Over 10.5 33.4%
Under 10.5 66.6%

Hednesford Town Goals

Over 1.5 45.22% (+1.37)
Under 1.5 54.78% (-1.37)
Over 2.5 20.72% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 79.28% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 8.3% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 91.7% (-0.50)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (-1.93)
Under 0.5 35.06% (+1.93)
Over 1.5 32.84% (-2.08)
Under 1.5 67.16% (+2.08)
Over 2.5 13.32% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 86.68% (+1.23)
Over 3.5 4.18% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 95.82% (+0.50)

Score analysis

Hednesford Town 44.62%
Draw 24.54%
Southport 30.84%
Hednesford Town
1-0 @ 8.98% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 7.42% (+0.51)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 4.06% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.19% (+0.52)
Total : 44.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.03)
Total : 24.54%
Southport
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.33)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.21)
Other @ 4.07% (-0.48)
Total : 30.84%