National League North
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bowden Park
  • Riley O'Sullivan 49' goal

Harborough Town vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
King's Lynn 1 - 1 Harborough Town

Morecambe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 1 Spennymoor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.91% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 13.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Harborough Town 70.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 15.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Morecambe 13.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 12.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 71.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 28.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 50.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 49.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 36.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 63.38% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Harborough Town 53.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 30.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Morecambe 15.73%

Team To Score First

Harborough Town 69.78%
No Goal 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Morecambe 27.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 9.52%
Under 8 22.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 57.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.48%
Under 9 32.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 46.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 53.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 1.5 71.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 47.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.15% ▲ (+0.04)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 47.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 52.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Harborough Town 70.5%
Draw 15.9%
Morecambe 13.61%
Harborough Town
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.73%
3-0 @ 7.19%
1-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 27.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 70.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.9%
Morecambe
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.52%
0-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 13.61%