Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 60.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (5.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.