Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 2.00am
Austin 1 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 35.15% and a draw has a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 40.02% (-0.10)
Draw 24.86%
Philadelphia Union 35.15% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.35%
Under 1.5 19.65%
Over 2.5 58.61%
Under 2.5 41.39%
Over 3.5 36.71%
Under 3.5 63.29%
Over 4.5 21.49%
Under 4.5 78.51%

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 31.12% (+0.02)
Draw 39.81%
Philadelphia Union 29.06% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 50.93%
No Goal 5.12%
Philadelphia Union 43.95%

Corners

Over 8 60.1%
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 28.6%
Over 9 48.38%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 39.9%
Over 10.5 37.24%
Under 10.5 62.76%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 44.23% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.77% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.09% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.91% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.34% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.66% (+0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 71.54% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 28.46% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.05% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 59.95% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 17.4% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.6% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.16% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.84% (-0.02)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 40.01%
Draw 24.86%
Philadelphia Union 35.16%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.06% (-0.04)
Total : 40.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.86%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7%
0-2 @ 4.82% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.88% (+0.02)
Total : 35.16%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Subaru Park
  • Milan Iloski 9' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 57' goal
  • Neil Pierre 66' goal
  • goal Cade Cowell 38'
  • yellowcard Ronald Donkor 77'
  • yellowcard Omar Valencia 85'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 88'
Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
US Open Cup
Aug 14, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Sandro Schwarz 56' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 56' yellowcard
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Tai Baribo 14'
  • goal Tai Baribo 14'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 55'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 55'
  • yellowcard Andre Blake 76'
  • yellowcard Andre Blake 76'
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Alejandro Bedoya 86' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bedoya 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 45'+2'