Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026 11.30pm
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.15am
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Pep Biel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Charlotte FC has a probability of 29.11% and a draw has a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win is 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 46.24% (+0.08)
Draw 24.65% (+0.03)
Charlotte FC 29.11% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.95% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.91% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 21.09% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.06% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 43.94% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 34.1% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 65.9% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 19.93% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 80.07% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 40.47%
Draw 38.6% (+0.01)
Charlotte FC 20.94%

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 58.16% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.52% (+0.05)
Charlotte FC 36.32% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 64.63% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 24.09% (-0.02)
Over 9 52.41% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.22%
Under 9 35.37% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 40.42% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 59.58% (-0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 47.76% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.24% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.34% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 77.66% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.85% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.15% (+0.05)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 65.94% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 34.06% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 33.41% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.59% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.7% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.3% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.92% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.08% (+0.05)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 46.25%
Draw 24.64%
Charlotte FC 29.11%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.39% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.9% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.2% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.78% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.66% (-0.04)
Total : 46.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.52% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
Charlotte FC
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.67% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.73% (-0.05)
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 21, 2026 11.30pm
6
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Idan Toklomati 14' goal
  • Kerwin Vargas 46' goal
  • Pep Biel 54' goal
  • Liel Abada 66' yellowcard
  • Luca de la Torre 66' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Zaha 68' goal
  • Archie Goodwin 75' yellowcard
  • David Schnegg 75' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 77' goal
  • Brandt Bronico 83' yellowcard
  • Brandt Bronico 85' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Omar Valencia 46'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 56'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Sofo  56'
  • yellowcard Tanner Rosborough 77'
  • goal Julian Hall 81'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 25, 2025 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 29, 2025 12.30am
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Wiktor Bogacz 14' goal
  • Wiktor Bogacz 14' goal
  • Mohammed Sofo 29' goal
  • Mohammed Sofo 29' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 70' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 70' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 74' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 74' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 81' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 81' yellowcard
  • Ronald Donkor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ronald Donkor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+7' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+7' goal
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 26'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 26'
  • yellowcard Pep Biel 40'
  • yellowcard Pep Biel 40'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 64'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 64'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 68'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 68'
  • goal Liel Abada 76'
  • goal Liel Abada 76'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Karol Swiderski 13' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 13' goal
  • Pep Biel 69' yellowcard
  • Pep Biel 69' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Elias Manoel 37'
  • goal Elias Manoel 37'
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Elias Manoel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 74' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 74' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Andres Reyes 83' goal
  • Andres Reyes 83' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 73'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 73'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 80'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 80'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 85'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 86'
  • goal Ben Bender 90'+6'
  • goal Ben Bender 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Oct 26, 2023 12.30am
5
2
HT : 6 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Elias Manoel 10' goal
  • Elias Manoel 10' goal
  • John Tolkin 26' goal
  • John Tolkin 26' goal
  • Elias Manoel 37' goal
  • Elias Manoel 37' goal
  • Tom Barlow 56' goal
  • Tom Barlow 56' goal
  • Elias Manoel 78' goal
  • Elias Manoel 78' goal
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 25'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 25'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 33'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 33'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 49'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 49'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 64'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 64'