Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
LIVE Q2 Stadium
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 21' goal
  • goal Cavan Sullivan 18'
  • yellowcard Jesús Bueno 38'
  • yellowcard Neil Pierre 41'

Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 2.30am
Seattle 1 - 2 Austin
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Myrto Uzuni

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).

Result

Austin FC 42.38% (+0.24)
Draw 25.28% (-0.17)
Philadelphia Union 32.33% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.3% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.49% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 19.51% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 58.39% (+1.14)
Under 2.5 41.61% (-1.14)
Over 3.5 35.45% (+0.64)
Under 3.5 64.55% (-0.64)
Over 4.5 20.66% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 79.34% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 31.85% (+0.59)
Draw 38.09% (-0.40)
Philadelphia Union 30.06% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Austin FC 50.82% (+0.29)
No Goal 5.35% (-0.24)
Philadelphia Union 43.83% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.04% (-0.40)
Equal 8 10.86% (+0.03)
Under 8 29.1% (+0.37)
Over 9 48.77% (-0.41)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 39.96% (+0.40)
Over 10.5 38.02% (-0.38)
Under 10.5 61.98% (+0.38)

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 46.37% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 53.63% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 21.17% (+0.62)
Under 2.5 78.83% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 8.07% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 91.93% (-0.31)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 69.29% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 30.71% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 37.5% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 62.5% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 15.42% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.58% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.1% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.9% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Austin FC 42.39%
Draw 25.29%
Philadelphia Union 32.33%
Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.74% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.76% (+0.28)
Total : 42.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.61% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.68% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.03)
Total : 25.29%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.97% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.79% (+0.04)
Total : 32.33%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Bold Stadium
  • Josh Wolff 34' yellowcard
  • Josh Wolff 34' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Biro 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Biro 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Diego Rubio 56' goal
  • Diego Rubio 56' goal
  • Diego Rubio 56' yellowcard
  • Jon Gallagher 58' goal
  • Jon Gallagher 58' goal
  • Diego Rubio 58' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 67' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 67' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 13'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 14'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 33'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 33'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 62'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 62'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 65'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 70'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 70'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 81'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 81'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 87'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 87'