Aug 20, 2026 12.30am

Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

W
L
W
L
W
W

Major League Soccer

W
W
W
W
L
D

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 11.00pm

NY City 2 - 3 Philadelphia

Goals scored

27

Top scorer

Milan Iloski

Inter Miami

All competitions

L
L
L
W
D
W

Major League Soccer

L
D
W
W
W
W

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 1.30am

Nashville 4 - 1 Inter Miami

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Lionel Messi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Inter Miami has a probability of 36.08% and a draw has a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 39.64% ▲ (+4.18)

Draw 24.28% ▼ (-0.21)

Inter Miami 36.08% ▼ (-3.99)

Both Teams to Score:

58.57% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.85% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 1.5 20.15% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 2.5 57.62% ▼ (-0.27)

Under 2.5 42.38% ▲ (+0.27)

Over 3.5 35.1% ▼ (-0.68)

Under 3.5 64.9% ▲ (+0.68)

Over 4.5 20.87% ▼ (-0.19)

Under 4.5 79.13% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 38.06% ▲ (+2.61)

Draw 38.24% ▼ (-1.24)

Inter Miami 23.7% ▼ (-1.38)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 57.28% ▲ (+3.47)

No Goal 5.46% ▲ (+0.13)

Inter Miami 37.26% ▼ (-3.61)

Corners

Over 8 56.96% ▼ (-2.44)

Equal 8 11.16% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 8 31.88% ▲ (+2.40)

Over 9 45.66% ▼ (-2.27)

Equal 9 11.3% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 9 43.04% ▲ (+2.44)

Over 10.5 35.13% ▼ (-1.91)

Under 10.5 64.87% ▲ (+1.92)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 42.66% ▲ (+3.05)

Under 1.5 57.34% ▼ (-3.05)

Over 2.5 19.45% ▲ (+2.13)

Under 2.5 80.55% ▼ (-2.13)

Over 3.5 7.26% ▲ (+1.00)

Under 3.5 92.74% ▼ (-1.00)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 71.28% ▼ (-2.85)

Under 0.5 28.72% ▲ (+2.84)

Over 1.5 39.76% ▼ (-3.82)

Under 1.5 60.24% ▲ (+3.82)

Over 2.5 17.37% ▼ (-2.43)

Under 2.5 82.63% ▲ (+2.43)

Over 3.5 6.47% ▼ (-1.04)

Under 3.5 93.53% ▲ (+1.04)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 39.64%

Draw 24.29%

Inter Miami 36.08%

Philadelphia Union

2-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.76)

1-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.34)

2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.82)

3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.56)

3-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.17)

3-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.51)

Other @ 6.97% ▲ (+1.04)

Total : 39.64%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.21)

2-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.39)

0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.13)

3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.10)

Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 24.29%

Inter Miami

1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.43)

0-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.53)

0-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.74)

1-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.61)

2-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.27)

0-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.43)

Other @ 6.18% ▼ (-1.00)

Total : 36.08%

Head to Head

May 25, 2026 12.00am

6

4

HT : 4 2

FT Chase Stadium

Germán Berterame 13'
Luis Suárez 29'
Germán Berterame 41'
Luis Suárez 44'
David Ayala 67'
Facundo Mura 68'
Mateo Silvetti 73'
Luis Suárez 81'
Noah Allen 88'
David Ruíz 88'
Rodrigo De Paul 90'+3'

Milan Iloski 3'
Milan Iloski 10'
Bruno Damiani 20'
Milan Iloski 45'+8'
Ezekiel Alladoh 57'
Alejandro Bedoya 65'
Alejandro Bedoya 66'
Jeremy Rafanello 67'
67'
Philippe Ndinga 83'
Finn Sundstrom 83'

May 25, 2025 12.30am

3

3

HT : 4 0

FT Subaru Park

Quinn Sullivan 7'
Quinn Sullivan 7'
Indiana Vassilev 41'
Indiana Vassilev 41'
Tai Baribo 44'
Tai Baribo 44'
Tai Baribo 73'
Tai Baribo 73'
Jesus Bueno 75'
Jesus Bueno 75'
Jakob Glesnes 86'
Jakob Glesnes 86'
Danley Jean Jacques 90'+7'
Danley Jean Jacques 90'+7'

Ian Fray 41'
Ian Fray 41'
Tadeo Allende 60'
Tadeo Allende 60'
Jordi Alba 76'
Jordi Alba 76'
Lionel Messi 87'
Lionel Messi 87'
Federico Redondo 90'+2'
Federico Redondo 90'+2'
Telasco Segovia 90'+5'
Telasco Segovia 90'+5'

Mar 29, 2025 11.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Inter Miami CF Stadium

Benjamin Cremaschi 21'
Robert Taylor 23'
Lionel Messi 57'
Yannick Bright 76'
Maximiliano Falcon 79'
Sergio Busquets 90'+2'
Jordi Alba 90'+4'
Luis Suarez 90'+5'

Tai Baribo 45'
Daniel Gazdag 80'
Jakob Glesnes 88'

Sep 15, 2024 12.30am

3

1

HT : 4 2

FT Inter Miami CF Stadium

Lionel Messi 26'
Lionel Messi 26'
Lionel Messi 30'
Lionel Messi 30'
Tomas Aviles 32'
Tomas Aviles 32'
Gerardo Martino 33'
Gerardo Martino 33'
Luis Suarez 75'
Luis Suarez 75'
Lionel Messi 87'
Lionel Messi 87'
Sergio Busquets 90'+5'
Sergio Busquets 90'+5'
Luis Suarez 90'+8'
Luis Suarez 90'+8'

Mikael Uhre 2'
Mikael Uhre 2'
Jack Elliott 56'
Jack Elliott 56'
Quinn Sullivan 72'
Quinn Sullivan 72'

Jun 16, 2024 12.30am

1

2

HT : 2 0

FT Subaru Park

Mikael Uhre 3'
Mikael Uhre 3'
Alejandro Bedoya 34'
Alejandro Bedoya 34'
Kai Wagner 64'
Kai Wagner 64'
Leon Flach 83'
Leon Flach 83'

David Ruiz 32'
David Ruiz 32'
Julian Gressel 47'
Julian Gressel 47'
Tomas Aviles 66'
Tomas Aviles 66'
David Ruiz 69'
David Ruiz 69'
Mikael Uhre 82'
Leonardo Campana 82'
Jordi Alba 83'
Jordi Alba 83'
Tomas Aviles 84'
Tomas Aviles 84'
Leonardo Afonso 90'+4'
Leonardo Afonso 90'+4'

Jun 25, 2023 12.30am

4

1

HT : 6 0

FT Subaru Park

Jakob Glesnes 14'
Jakob Glesnes 14'
Julian Carranza 39'
Julian Carranza 39'
Leon Flach 45'+4'
Leon Flach 45'+4'
David Ruiz 68'
David Ruiz 68'

Robert Taylor 50'
Robert Taylor 50'

Form Data

NY City 2 - 3 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 0 - 2 Santos Laguna

Philadelphia 3 - 1 Necaxa

Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 3 - 2 Atlanta

Philadelphia 1 - 0 Seattle

Nashville 4 - 1 Inter Miami

Inter Miami 2 - 3 Club Leon

Inter Miami 1 - 2 Monterrey

Inter Miami 4 - 2 Atletico San Luis

Inter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew

Montreal 0 - 1 Inter Miami