Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026 1.30am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT GEODIS Park
  • Andy Nájar 17' goal
  • Hany Mukhtar 49' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 56' goal
  • Hany Mukhtar 63' goal
  • yellowcard Casemiro 47'
  • goal Telasco Segovia 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lionel Messi  59'
  • yellowcard David Ruíz 78'

Nashville SC vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 12.30am
DC United 2 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 1.10am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Nashville SC 39.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 25.18%
Inter Miami 35.16% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.49% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 19.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 58.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 36.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 63.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 21.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 78.59% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 34.67%
Draw 40.62%
Inter Miami 24.71%

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 54.83% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Inter Miami 39.88%

Corners

Over 8 54.2%
Equal 8 12.27%
Under 8 33.54%
Over 9 42.04%
Equal 9 12.16%
Under 9 45.8%
Over 10.5 31.02%
Under 10.5 68.98%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 43.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 56.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 80.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 71.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.31%
Under 1.5 59.69%
Over 2.5 17.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 39.62%
Draw 25.17%
Inter Miami 35.17%
Nashville SC
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 39.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 25.17%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 35.17%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 18, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Chase Stadium
  • Lionel Messi  7' goal
  • Noah Allen 40' yellowcard
  • Mateo Silvetti 61' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 78' yellowcard
  • David Ayala 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 58'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 58'
  • yellowcard Edvard Tagseth 71'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 74'
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 85'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 85'
CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 11, 2026 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT GEODIS Park
  • Alex Muyl 68' yellowcard
  • Edvard Tagseth 68' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 83' yellowcard
  • Woobens Pacius 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Luján 7'
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 72'
  • yellowcard Mateo Silvetti 72'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 9, 2025 1.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 25, 2025 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT