Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 0 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 35.08% and a draw has a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.19%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 35.08% (-3.02)
Draw 24.25% (+0.09)
Chicago Fire 40.67% (+2.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.52% (+0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.58% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 16.42% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 63.57% (+1.14)
Under 2.5 36.43% (-1.14)
Over 3.5 41.73% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 58.27% (-1.59)
Over 4.5 25.47% (+1.34)
Under 4.5 74.53% (-1.35)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 32.98% (-1.28)
Draw 37.1% (+0.75)
Chicago Fire 29.92% (+0.53)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 50.06% (-1.17)
No Goal 4.15% (-0.19)
Chicago Fire 45.79% (+1.36)

Corners

Over 8 61.95% (-1.26)
Equal 8 10.89% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.16% (+1.24)
Over 9 50.49% (-1.15)
Equal 9 11.46% (-0.12)
Under 9 38.05% (+1.26)
Over 10.5 39.41% (-0.95)
Under 10.5 60.59% (+0.95)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 42.94% (-1.67)
Under 1.5 57.06% (+1.67)
Over 2.5 19.46% (-1.08)
Under 2.5 80.54% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 7.02% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 92.98% (+0.64)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 76.32% (+2.29)
Under 0.5 23.68% (-2.29)
Over 1.5 47.79% (+3.29)
Under 1.5 52.21% (-3.29)
Over 2.5 23.16% (+2.79)
Under 2.5 76.84% (-2.79)
Over 3.5 9.2% (+1.57)
Under 3.5 90.8% (-1.58)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 35.08%
Draw 24.25%
Chicago Fire 40.66%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.59)
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.46)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.32)
Other @ 6.58% (-0.72)
Total : 35.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 7.21% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 2.26% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.44% (+0.10)
Total : 24.25%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.59% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 6.34% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.27% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 4.88% (+0.40)
2-3 @ 3.87% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 2.95% (+0.27)
Other @ 8.76% (+1.48)
Total : 40.66%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 9, 2026 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Soldier Field
  • P. Dithejane 61' yellowcard
  • Jason Shokalook 80' yellowcard
  • Sergio Oregel 80' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 80' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borso 85' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 87' goal
  • goal Jorge Ruvalcaba 45'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 46'
  • goal Cade Cowell 49'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 60'
  • yellowcard Rafael Mosquera 73'
  • yellowcard Omar Valencia 73'
  • yellowcard Justin Che 80'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 81'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 81'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Jul 27, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Serge Ngoma 41' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 41' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 45'+2' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 45'+2' goal
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 32'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 32'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Chris Mueller 16' yellowcard
  • Chris Mueller 16' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 31' goal
  • Tom Barlow 31' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 57' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 57' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 75' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 75' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 87' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 87' yellowcard
  • goal Dennis Gjengaar 47'
  • goal Dennis Gjengaar 47'
  • yellowcard Dante Vanzeir 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Dante Vanzeir 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Andres Reyes 42' redcard
  • Andres Reyes 42' redcard
  • yellowcard Kellyn Acosta 55'
  • yellowcard Kellyn Acosta 55'
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 75'
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 75'
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Hassan Ndam 49' yellowcard
  • Hassan Ndam 49' yellowcard
  • Hassan Ndam 62' redcard
  • Hassan Ndam 62' redcard
  • John Tolkin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • John Tolkin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 17'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 17'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 59'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 59'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 64'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 64'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 82'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 82'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dean 90'+5'