Leagues Cup
Aug 14, 2026 2.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT SeatGeek Stadium
  • Willer Ditta 18' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Ibáñez 81' goal
  • yellowcard Puso Dithejane 31'
  • goal Puso Dithejane 67'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 88'
  • goal Puso Dithejane 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+9'

Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 12.30am
Cruz Azul 2 - 1 NY City

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 1.00am
Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Santos Laguna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Cruz Azul 50.94% (-1.79)
Draw 23.33% (+0.16)
Chicago Fire 25.76% (+1.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.09% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.41% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 20.59% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 57.34% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 42.64% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 35.15% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 64.85% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 21.45% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 78.55% (+0.37)

First Half Winner

Cruz Azul 39.71%
Draw 38.73%
Chicago Fire 21.56%

Team To Score First

Cruz Azul 55.4% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.38% (+0.04)
Chicago Fire 39.22% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 47.29% (-8.82)
Equal 8 11.1% (-0.10)
Under 8 41.61% (+8.91)
Over 9 36.84% (-8.00)
Equal 9 10.45% (-0.82)
Under 9 52.71% (+8.82)
Over 10.5 27.73% (-6.68)
Under 10.5 72.27% (+6.68)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 1.5 51.44% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 48.56% (+1.54)
Over 2.5 26.01% (-1.13)
Under 2.5 73.99% (+1.13)
Over 3.5 10.88% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 89.12% (+0.58)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 62.15% (+1.29)
Under 0.5 37.85% (-1.29)
Over 1.5 30.31% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 69.69% (-1.25)
Over 2.5 11.49% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 88.51% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 3.8% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 96.2% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Cruz Azul 50.95%
Draw 23.33%
Chicago Fire 25.75%
Cruz Azul
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.26)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.28)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.31)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.08)
Other @ 10.61% (-0.56)
Total : 50.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.64% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.03)
Total : 23.33%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 6.26% (+0.30)
0-1 @ 6.14% (+0.31)
0-2 @ 3.56% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.4% (+0.20)
Other @ 3.53% (+0.21)
Total : 25.75%