Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.30am
Nashville 4 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Nashville SC has a probability of 34.45% and a draw has a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Nashville SC win is 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.73%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 39.94% (-0.14)
Draw 25.61% (-0.11)
Nashville SC 34.45% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.06% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.55%
Under 2.5 43.45%
Over 3.5 34.46%
Under 3.5 65.54%
Over 4.5 19.76% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 80.24% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 32.67% (+0.10)
Draw 40.13% (-0.08)
Nashville SC 27.2% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 50.23% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.52% (-0.05)
Nashville SC 44.25% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.17% (-0.27)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.13)
Under 8 30.2% (+0.15)
Over 9 46.28% (-0.37)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.12)
Under 9 41.83% (+0.27)
Over 10.5 35.14% (-0.44)
Under 10.5 64.86% (+0.44)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 43.19% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 56.81% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 19.33% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.67% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.09% (+0.03)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 70.91% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 29.09% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 38.81% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 61.19% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.05% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.95% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.48% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.52% (-0.05)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 39.94%
Draw 25.62%
Nashville SC 34.44%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 3.07%
Other @ 6.62% (-0.02)
Total : 39.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 25.62%
Nashville SC
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.18% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 5.19% (+0.06)
Total : 34.44%

Head to Head

MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Patrick Yazbek 34' goal
  • Patrick Yazbek 34' goal
  • Duncan Williams 63' goal
  • Duncan Williams 63' goal
  • Ahmed Qasem 79' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Qasem 79' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 86' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 86' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 36'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 36'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 56'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 56'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 73'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 73'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 83'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 83'
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Mohammed Sofo 7' goal
  • Mohammed Sofo 7' goal
  • Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 12' yellowcard
  • Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 12' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 30' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 30' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 57' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 57' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 59'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 59'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 67'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 67'
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • Sandro Schwarz 32' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 32' yellowcard
  • Mitja Ilencic 39' redcard
  • Noah Eile 40' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 40' yellowcard
  • Agustin Ojeda 44' goal
  • Agustin Ojeda 44' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 75' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 86' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 86' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 90'+15' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 32'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 32'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 48'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 48'
  • goal Mohamed Farsi 53'
  • goal Mohamed Farsi 53'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 65'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 65'
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Sean Davis 26' yellowcard
  • Brian Anunga 73' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 90'+5' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Fabrice Picault 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 39'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 70'
  • goal John Tolkin 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison