Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Aug 2, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Orlando City

New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 11.30pm
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Orlando City has a probability of 31.15% and a draw has a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.94%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 45.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Orlando City 31.15% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.49% ▲ (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 16.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 63.56% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 36.44% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 40.94% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 59.06% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 25.87% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 74.13% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 41.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 33.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Orlando City 24.91% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 56.69% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 4.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Orlando City 38.68% ▲ (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 67.42%
Equal 8 10.23%
Under 8 22.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 56.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 32.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 44.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.18% ▼ (-0.01)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 50.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 49.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 26.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 73.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 88.1% ▼ (-0.05)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 68.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 61.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 83.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.29% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 45.27%
Draw 23.59%
Orlando City 31.13%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 45.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.59%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 31.13%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Feb 22, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Exploria Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Colin Guske 14' yellowcard
  • Iván Angulo 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Pašalić 46' yellowcard
  • Tiago 76' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Taifi 86' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Taifi 87' yellowcard
  • Tiago 90'+6' goal
  • goal Julian Hall 8'
  • goal Julian Hall 40'
  • yellowcard Juan Mina 65'
  • yellowcard Omar Valencia 65'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 75'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 75'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 76'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 76'
  • yellowcard Tanner Rosborough 87'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Apr 12, 2025 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Marco Pasalic 19' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 31' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 56' redcard
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 47'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 64'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 89'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Mar 15, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Orlando City
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Peter Stroud 68' yellowcard
  • Sean Nealis 73' yellowcard
  • Serge Ngoma 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Ojeda 18'
  • goal Marco Pasalic 39'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 82'
MLS Playoffs
Orlando City
Dec 1, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Sean Nealis 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 24'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 24'
  • goal Andres Reyes 47'
  • goal Andres Reyes 47'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 67'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
Orlando City
  • John Tolkin 38' goal
  • John Tolkin 38' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 86'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 86'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Exploria Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Ivan Angulo 75' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 89' goal
  • goal Lewis Morgan 21'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 44'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 73'

Form Data

NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Philadelphia 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Kansas 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 NY City
NY Red Bulls 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 NY Red Bulls
Orlando City 1 - 0 Nashville
Earthquakes 0 - 4 Orlando City
Cincinnati 6 - 2 Orlando City
Orlando City 4 - 1 Atlanta
Orlando City 1 - 1 Atlanta
Orlando City 3 - 2 Philadelphia