Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • João Victor 60' goal
  • Gabriel Pires 62' yellowcard
  • Alesson 68' yellowcard
  • Shaylon 69' yellowcard
  • Alesson 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fogaça 77' yellowcard
  • Denilson 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoshan Valois 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Besozzi 69'
  • yellowcard Felipe Peña Biafore 77'
  • yellowcard Walter Bou 77'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Dejesús 82'

Mirassol vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions

Lanus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.69% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 45.23% (-0.15)
Draw 27.69% (+0.06)
Lanus 27.12% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.63% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 33% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 40.93% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 59.07% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 20.34% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.66% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.63% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.37% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 35.76%
Draw 44.68%
Lanus 19.56%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 56.86% (-0.03)
No Goal 10.11% (+0.04)
Lanus 33.03% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.88%
Equal 8 11.04% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.09% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.29% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 38.12%
Over 10.5 39.14% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 60.86% (+0.01)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 38.14% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 61.86% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 15.61% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.39% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.13% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.87% (+0.03)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 59.37% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.63% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.93% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.07% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 6.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 45.23%
Draw 27.68%
Lanus 27.11%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.1% (-0.03)
Total : 45.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.11% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 27.68%
Lanus
0-1 @ 9.92% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Total : 27.11%