Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest South Korea win was 0-1 (9.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.