World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 19, 2026 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Guadalajara Stadium
  • Luis Romo 50' goal
  • yellowcard Kang-in Lee 4'
  • yellowcard Seung-ho Paik 58'

Mexico vs South Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 11, 2026 8.00pm
Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa

South Korea

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 3.00am
South Korea 2 - 1 Czech Republic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest South Korea win was 0-1 (9.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 38.63% (-0.02)
Draw 26.07%
South Korea 35.3% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.99% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.18% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 27.82% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 46.9% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 53.1% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 24.9% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 75.1% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.61% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.39% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Mexico 29.93% (+0.02)
Draw 45.36% (-0.03)
South Korea 24.71%

Team To Score First

Mexico 52.32%
No Goal 7.75% (-0.05)
South Korea 39.93% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 40.12% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.01)
Under 8 48.71% (-0.05)
Over 9 30.18% (+0.04)
Equal 9 9.93% (+0.01)
Under 9 59.88% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 22% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 78% (-0.02)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 36.09% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.91% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 13.89% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.54%
Under 3.5 95.46%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 67.62% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 32.38% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 33.34% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 66.66% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 12.9% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.1% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.14% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.86% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Mexico 38.63%
Draw 26.06%
South Korea 35.3%
Mexico
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.97% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 38.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
South Korea
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.88% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.02% (+0.03)
Total : 35.3%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 10, 2025 2.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Nov 14, 2020 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luis Rodriguez 65' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 67' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 69' goal
  • Carlos Salcedo 70' goal
  • goal Hwang Ui-jo 20'
  • yellowcard Ju-Yong Lee 26'
  • yellowcard Jung Woo-young 73'
  • goal Kwon Kyung-won 87'
World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 23, 2018 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rostov Arena
  • Heung-min Son 90'+3' goal
  • goal Carlos Vela 26'
  • goal Javier Hernandez 66'

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