EFL Cup
Man Utd
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Shea Lacey 8' goal
  • Mason Mount  10' goal
  • yellowcard Chema Andrés 43'
  • goal Charalampos Kostoulas 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jaouen Hadjam 59'
  • goal Pascal Groß 65'
  • goal Maxim De Cuyper 69'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 85'
  • yellowcard Maxim De Cuyper 90'+1'

Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 42.52% ▼ (-1.35)
Draw 22.66% ▼ (-0.24)
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.82% ▲ (+1.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.79% ▲ (+0.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.38% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 16.62% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 2.5 64.73% ▲ (+1.79)
Under 2.5 35.27% ▼ (-1.78)
Over 3.5 41.53% ▲ (+1.31)
Under 3.5 58.47% ▼ (-1.31)
Over 4.5 26.09% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 73.91% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 34.18% ▲ (+0.75)
Draw 34.46% ▼ (-4.72)
Brighton & Hove Albion 31.36% ▲ (+3.97)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 51.24% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 4.24% ▼ (-0.50)
Brighton & Hove Albion 44.52% ▲ (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 57.18% ▲ (+0.62)
Equal 8 10.77% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 8 32.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 46.27% ▲ (+1.25)
Equal 9 10.92% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 9 42.82% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 10.5 36.04% ▲ (+1.72)
Under 10.5 63.96% ▼ (-1.72)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 48.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 51.51% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 24.23% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 75.77% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 3.5 10.13% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 3.5 89.87% ▲ (+0.54)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 70.83% ▲ (+2.02)
Under 0.5 29.17% ▼ (-2.02)
Over 1.5 41.88% ▲ (+2.32)
Under 1.5 58.12% ▼ (-2.32)
Over 2.5 19.45% ▲ (+1.52)
Under 2.5 80.55% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 3.5 7.39% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 92.61% ▼ (-0.43)

Score analysis

Manchester United 42.53%
Draw 22.67%
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.81%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.46)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.74)
Total : 42.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.52)
2-2 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.44)
0-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.50)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.48% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 22.67%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.50)
0-1 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.67)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.26)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 34.81%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
Brighton
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Man Utd
  • Yankuba Minteh 46' yellowcard
  • Solly March 59' yellowcard
  • Carlos Baleba 59' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Kostoulas 59' yellowcard
  • Georginio Rutter 74' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Dorgu 33'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 44'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 48'
  • yellowcard S. Lacey 62'
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 74'
  • yellowcard T. Fletcher 74'
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 74'
  • yellowcard Tyrell Malacia 82'
FA Cup
Man Utd
Jan 11, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Shea Lacey 62' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zirkzee 62' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 79' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 79' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 85' goal
  • goal Brajan Gruda 12'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 64'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 77'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 77'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 78'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 83'
  • yellowcard Tom Watson 90'+2'
Premier League
Man Utd
Oct 25, 2025 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League Gameweek 22
Man Utd
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Bruno Fernandes 23' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 61' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Yankuba Minteh 5'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 21'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 43'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 60'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 76'
  • yellowcard Solly March 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Brighton
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
Man Utd
  • Danny Welbeck 32' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 89' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 90'+5' goal
  • goal Amad Diallo 60'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 76'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 78'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Brighton
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Man Utd
  • Billy Gilmour 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 22'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 45'+1'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 73'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 88'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 90'+4'

Form Data

Man Utd 0 - 1 Man City
Man Utd 4 - 0 Sabah
Everton 2 - 2 Man Utd
Man Utd 5 - 2 Ipswich
Hull City 2 - 0 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 4 AC Milan
Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds
Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton
Brighton 4 - 0 Tromso
Brighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Tromso 0 - 0 Brighton

Build-up

News
News
News