Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Tanner Tessmann 46' yellowcard
  • Orel Mangala 67' yellowcard
  • Afonso Moreira 67' yellowcard
  • Pavel Sulc 67' yellowcard
  • Malick Fofana 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Aidoo 46'
  • yellowcard Hugo Álvarez 46'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 57'
  • yellowcard Ferran Jutglà 57'
  • yellowcard Ferran Jutglà 58'
  • goal Javi Rueda 61'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sotelo 81'
  • goal Ferran Jutglà 90'+2'

Lyon vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Lyon

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.12% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Lyon 50.88%
Draw 25.12% (-0.03)
Celta Vigo 24% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.66% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.59% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 26.41% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 49.19% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 50.81% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 27.04% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 72.96% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 15.33% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 84.67% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Lyon 36.31%
Draw 41.72%
Celta Vigo 21.97%

Team To Score First

Lyon 56.69% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.48% (-0.04)
Celta Vigo 35.83% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.4% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.69%
Under 8 37.9% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.15% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.6% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 29.17% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.83% (-0.04)

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 46.64% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 53.36% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 21.52% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.48% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.98% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.02% (-0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 58.95% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 41.05% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 25.35% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 74.65% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.17% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 91.83% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.27% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.73% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lyon 50.88%
Draw 25.12%
Celta Vigo 24%
Lyon
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.01% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74%
Other @ 7.83% (+0.04)
Total : 50.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 25.12%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Total : 24%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Javi Rueda 25' goal
  • Sergio Carreira 46' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutglà 46' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ristic 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 66' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 67' yellowcard
  • Hugo Sotelo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rémi Himbert 67'
  • yellowcard Adam Karabec 70'
  • yellowcard Adil Hamdani 85'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 85'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 85'
  • goal Endrick 87'