Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.12% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.