CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 30, 2026 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Timothy Tillman 51' goal
  • Kenny Nielsen 67' yellowcard
  • Stephen Eustaquio 80' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 80' yellowcard
  • Nkosi Tafari 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 64'
  • goal Jesús Angulo 73'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 80'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 88'
  • yellowcard Jorge Díaz 89'

Los Angeles FC vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Toluca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Los Angeles FC 41.14%
Draw 25.01%
Toluca 33.88% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.4% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 24.6% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 51.73% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.27% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 28.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.59% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.21% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.79% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Los Angeles FC 32.69%
Draw 40.47%
Toluca 26.84%

Team To Score First

Los Angeles FC 46.78%
No Goal 6.79%
Toluca 46.43%

Corners

Over 8 52.91%
Equal 8 11.75%
Under 8 35.34%
Over 9 41.4%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 47.09%
Over 10.5 31.02%
Under 10.5 68.98%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 1.5 40.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.63% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 17.44% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.56% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.25% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.75% (-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 67% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 34.35% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 65.65% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 13.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.52% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.59% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 41.14%
Draw 25.02%
Toluca 33.89%
Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.05% (+0.01)
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.02%
Toluca
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 4.21% (+0.01)
Total : 33.89%