Ligue 2 Gameweek 34
May 9, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Paris
  • Kévin Cabral 43' goal
  • Abdelsamad Hachem 64' yellowcard
  • Hacène Benali 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Haag 68' yellowcard
  • Pape Meïssa Ba 78' yellowcard
  • Pape Meïssa Ba 79' yellowcard
  • Saîf-Eddine Khaoui 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Théo Sainte-Luce 60'
  • yellowcard Robin Thiland-Herard 60'
  • yellowcard Nathanaël Mbuku 61'
  • yellowcard Naoufel El Hannach 72'
  • yellowcard Téji Savanier 73'
  • goal Nicolas Pays 88'

Red Star vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Amiens 1 - 3 Red Star
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Kévin Cabral

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 2 Clermont
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Red Star 38.47% (-0.04)
Draw 28.47%
Montpellier HSC 33.1% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.22% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 30.66% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.81%
Under 3.5 77.19%
Over 4.5 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.4% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Red Star 28.5%
Draw 46.48%
Montpellier HSC 25.02%

Team To Score First

Red Star 47.78% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.78% (-0.01)
Montpellier HSC 42.44%

Corners

Over 8 54.48%
Equal 8 12.33%
Under 8 33.19%
Over 9 42.25%
Equal 9 12.23%
Under 9 45.52%
Over 10.5 31.17%
Under 10.5 68.83%

Red Star Goals

Over 1.5 34.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.27% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.03% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.04% (+0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 65.31% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.69% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.15% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.85% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.01%
Under 3.5 96.99%

Score analysis

Red Star 38.46%
Draw 28.47%
Montpellier HSC 33.09%
Red Star
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.91% (-0.01)
Total : 38.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.47%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.09%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 9, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT