Ligue 2 Gameweek 34
May 9, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de Paris

Red Star vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Amiens 1 - 3 Red Star
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Damien Durand

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 2 Clermont
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Star win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 33.1% and a draw has a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 0-1 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.01%).

Result

Red Star 38.47% (-0.04)
Draw 28.47%
Montpellier HSC 33.1% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.22% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 30.66% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.81%
Under 3.5 77.19%
Over 4.5 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.4% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Red Star 28.5%
Draw 46.48%
Montpellier HSC 25.02%

Team To Score First

Red Star 47.78% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.78% (-0.01)
Montpellier HSC 42.44%

Corners

Over 8 54.48%
Equal 8 12.33%
Under 8 33.19%
Over 9 42.25%
Equal 9 12.23%
Under 9 45.52%
Over 10.5 31.17%
Under 10.5 68.83%

Red Star Goals

Over 1.5 34.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.27% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.03% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.04% (+0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 65.31% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.69% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.15% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.85% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.01%
Under 3.5 96.99%

Score analysis

Red Star 38.46%
Draw 28.47%
Montpellier HSC 33.09%
Red Star
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.91% (-0.01)
Total : 38.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.47%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.09%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 9, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT