Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.81% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Amiens win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.