Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Armand-Césari

Bastia vs Amiens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Rodez AF 1 - 1 Bastia
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Amiens

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Amiens 3 - 4 Le Mans
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Nordine Kandil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bastia win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw has a probability of 26.25% and a win for Amiens has a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Amiens win it is 0-1 (7.89%).

Result

Bastia 49.58% (-0.07)
Draw 26.25%
Amiens 24.14% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.12% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.88% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 45.93% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.07% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.41% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.59% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.26% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.74% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bastia 33.94%
Draw 43.4%
Amiens 22.66%

Team To Score First

Bastia 54.69%
No Goal 8.4%
Amiens 36.91%

Corners

Over 8 53.08%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 35.12%
Over 9 41.49%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 46.92%
Over 10.5 31.03%
Under 10.5 68.97%

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 44.06% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.94% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.27% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.73% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.18% (+0.03)

Amiens Goals

Over 0.5 58.46% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 41.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.17% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.33%
Under 2.5 92.67%
Over 3.5 1.86%
Under 3.5 98.14%

Score analysis

Bastia 49.57%
Draw 26.25%
Amiens 24.13%
Bastia
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.74% (-0.02)
Total : 49.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.25%
Amiens
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 12, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 19
Jan 17, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Credit Agricole de la Licorne
  • Louis Mafouta 54' yellowcard
  • Osaze Urhoghide 72' yellowcard
  • Louis Mafouta 83' goal
  • Amine Chabane 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustave Akueson 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jocelyn Janneh 51'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Ariss 56'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 80'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Clement Rodrigues 44' yellowcard
  • Christophe Vincent 53' goal
  • Juan Jose Guevara Possu 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Osaze Urhoghide 44'
  • yellowcard Louis Mafouta 51'
  • yellowcard Frank Boya 62'
  • yellowcard Owen Gene 89'
  • redcard Osaze Urhoghide 90'+4'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 36
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Anthony Roncaglia 48' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Souboul 49' yellowcard
  • Jocelyn Janneh 52' yellowcard
  • Anthony Roncaglia 57' redcard
  • Florian Bianchini 70' goal
  • Facinet Conte 70' yellowcard
  • Facinet Conte 72' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Mafouta 35'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 38'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Ring 79'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Jaouab 90'+5'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Credit Agricole de la Licorne
  • Amadou Ciss 13' yellowcard
  • Louis Mafouta 36' goal
  • Jeremy Gelin 48' goal
  • Kylian Kaiboue 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Louis Mafouta 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Regis Brouard 14'
  • yellowcard Kapit Djoco 28'
  • goal Issiar Drame 44'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 85'
  • redcard Johny Placide 90'+13'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 33
Apr 29, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Schur 30' goal
  • goal Youssouf Assogba 36'