Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.25% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Amiens win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.