Ligue 2 Gameweek 23
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
LIVE Stade Armand-Césari

Bastia vs Troyes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
Reims 0 - 0 Bastia
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Troyes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 1.00pm
Nancy 0 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Renaud Ripart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Troyes win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Bastia has a probability of 35.12% and a draw has a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win is 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Bastia win is 1-0 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result

Bastia 35.12% (+0.04)
Draw 28.54%
Troyes 36.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.75% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 33.82% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 39.58%
Under 2.5 60.42% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.45% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.55% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.36%
Under 4.5 90.64%

First Half Winner

Bastia 24.8%
Draw 46.22%
Troyes 28.98%

Team To Score First

Bastia 39.4%
No Goal 10.53%
Troyes 50.07%

Corners

Over 8 45.5%
Equal 8 12.68%
Under 8 41.81%
Over 9 33.77%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 54.5%
Over 10.5 23.83%
Under 10.5 76.17%

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 30.24% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.76% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.28% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.72% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.87%
Under 3.5 97.13%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5 66.09%
Under 0.5 33.91%
Over 1.5 30.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.3% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 10.56% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.44% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.79%
Under 3.5 97.21%

Score analysis

Bastia 35.11%
Draw 28.54%
Troyes 36.35%
Bastia
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 7.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.54%
Troyes
0-1 @ 12%
1-2 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66%
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.35%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Stade Armand-Césari
Ligue 2
Oct 17, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas
  • Rafiki Said 12' goal
  • Ismael Boura 32' yellowcard
  • Adrien Monfray 36' yellowcard
  • Cyriaque Kalou Irie 53' goal
  • Abdoulaye Kante 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Roncaglia 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Jose Guevara Possu 61'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 81'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Zakaria Ariss 4' yellowcard
  • Julien Maggiotti 33' yellowcard
  • Juan Jose Guevara Possu 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cyriaque Kalou Irie 24'
  • yellowcard Ismael Boura 40'
  • yellowcard Jaures Assoumou 43'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Kante 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mouhamed Diop 90'+4'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de l'Aube
  • Simon Elisor 10' goal
  • Tanguy Zoukrou 38' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 88' yellowcard
  • Luka Ilic 89' goal
  • Luka Ilic 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Tom Ducrocq 33'
  • yellowcard Florian Bohnert 82'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Christophe Vincent 12' redcard
  • Dimitri Lienard 33' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Santelli 47' goal
  • Facinet Conte 70' goal
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 74' yellowcard
  • Facinet Conte 80' goal
  • goal Nicolas de Preville 9'
  • redcard Rominigue Kouame 12'
  • goal Tanguy Zoukrou 29'
  • yellowcard Niakhate Ndiaye 90'+7'