Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.