Ligue 2 Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2026 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Armand-Césari
  • Amine Boutrah 55' yellowcard
  • Florian Bohnert 73' yellowcard
  • Joachim Eickmayer 73' yellowcard
  • Tom Meynadier 73' yellowcard
  • Ruben Beliandjou 73' yellowcard
  • Christophe Vincent 76' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandre Mendy 2'
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 54'
  • yellowcard Téji Savanier 54'
  • goal Yanis Ali Issoufou 63'
  • goal Yanis Issoufou 63'
  • yellowcard Theo Chennahi 68'
  • yellowcard Théo Chennahi 68'
  • yellowcard Ayanda Sishuba 86'
  • yellowcard Everson Junior Pereira da Silva 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Everson Jr 90'+2'

Bastia vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 7.00pm
Laval 0 - 2 Bastia
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 7.00pm
Boulogne 1 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Bastia 42.14% (-0.04)
Draw 26.26%
Montpellier HSC 31.6% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.77% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 27.51% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%
Over 3.5 25.6% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.4% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.61% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.39% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Bastia 29.53%
Draw 45.61%
Montpellier HSC 24.86%

Team To Score First

Bastia 46.79%
No Goal 7.85% (-0.02)
Montpellier HSC 45.36% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.95%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 33.03%
Over 9 42.97%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 45.05%
Over 10.5 32.03%
Under 10.5 67.97%

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 39.62% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.38% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.21% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.79% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.52%
Under 3.5 94.48%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 65.35% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.65% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.14% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.82%
Under 2.5 89.18%
Over 3.5 2.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bastia 42.14%
Draw 26.26%
Montpellier HSC 31.61%
Bastia
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.45%
Total : 42.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.26%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 5.12% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Total : 31.61%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 20, 2025 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1
Feb 4, 2017 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Steve Mounie 17' goal
  • Ellyes Skhiri 19' yellowcard
  • Jerome Roussillon 37' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 64' goal
  • Mathieu Deplagne 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Prince Oniangue 31'
  • goal Enzo Crivelli 34'
  • yellowcard Yannick Cahuzac 37'
  • redcard Aleksander Djiku 92'
Ligue 1
Nov 19, 2016 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ellyes Skhiri 6' goal
  • Gilles Cioni 50' yellowcard
  • Lenny Nangis 54' yellowcard
  • goal Steve Mounie 56'
Ligue 1
Jan 16, 2016 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Silva Brandao 32' yellowcard
  • Floyd Ayite 48' goal
  • Aleksander Djiku 59' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 65' redcard
  • Francois Modesto 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathieu Deplagne 41'
  • redcard Daniel Congre 68'
Ligue 1
Oct 24, 2015 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mathieu Deplagne 58' yellowcard
  • Ryad Boudebouz 63' goal
  • Rodrigue Ninga 88' goal
  • yellowcard Mathieu Peybernes 54'
  • yellowcard Axel Ngando 75'
  • yellowcard Yannick Cahuzac 82'
Ligue 1
Apr 4, 2015 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Barrios 69' goal
  • Anthony Mounier 72' goal
  • Joris Marveaux 87' yellowcard
  • Morgan Sanson 91' goal
  • goal Giovanni Sio 35'
  • yellowcard Francois-Joseph Modesto 68'
  • yellowcard Julian Palmieri 70'