Ligue 2 Gameweek 19
Jan 16, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de la Libération

Boulogne vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boulogne

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 7.00pm
Guingamp 0 - 0 Boulogne
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Amine El Farissi

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 5, 2026 7.45pm
Montpellier 0 - 0 Dunkerque
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Boulogne has a probability of 26.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Boulogne win is 1-0 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result

Boulogne 26.21% (-0.04)
Draw 24.3% (+0.09)
Montpellier HSC 49.46% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.66% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.19% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.81% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.59% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.37% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.63% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 67.37% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.89% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.11% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Boulogne 22.23% (-0.01)
Draw 44.42% (-0.09)
Montpellier HSC 33.34% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Boulogne 34.94% (-0.25)
No Goal 6.23% (+0.03)
Montpellier HSC 58.83% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 50.92% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.07% (-0.02)
Under 8 37% (-0.01)
Over 9 39.26% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.66% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.08% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 28.92% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 71.08% (-0.05)

Boulogne Goals

Over 1.5 29.39% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.61% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.46% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.28%
Under 3.5 96.72%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 78.37% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.63% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 48.21% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 51.79% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 22.62% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.38% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.82% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Boulogne 26.2%
Draw 24.29%
Montpellier HSC 49.46%
Boulogne
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 5.9%
2-0 @ 4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Total : 26.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.23% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 24.29%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 8.48%
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.75% (-0.02)
Total : 49.46%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 23, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT