Ligue 2 Gameweek 19
Jan 16, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Libération
  • Martin Lecolier 46' yellowcard
  • Corentin Fatou 59' goal
  • Joffrey Bultel 68' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Keita 69' yellowcard
  • Jonas Martin 80' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Kouassi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Theo Chennahi 58'
  • yellowcard Théo Chennahi 58'
  • yellowcard Nathanael Mbuku 69'
  • yellowcard Nathanaël Mbuku 69'
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 70'

Boulogne vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boulogne

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 7.00pm
Guingamp 3 - 0 Boulogne
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Amine El Farissi

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 5, 2026 7.45pm
Montpellier 1 - 3 Dunkerque
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Boulogne had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Boulogne win was 1-0 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Boulogne 26.14% (-0.08)
Draw 24.3%
Montpellier HSC 49.53% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.53% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 47.44% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 32.56% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 67.44% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.83% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 81.17% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Boulogne 22.23%
Draw 44.42%
Montpellier HSC 33.34%

Team To Score First

Boulogne 34.94%
No Goal 6.24% (+0.01)
Montpellier HSC 58.82% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.92%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 37%
Over 9 39.26%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 49.08%
Over 10.5 28.92%
Under 10.5 71.08%

Boulogne Goals

Over 1.5 29.3% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 70.7% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 10.46% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.54% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 3.24% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.76% (+0.05)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 78.42% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.58% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 48.25% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.75% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.63% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 77.37% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.82%
Under 3.5 91.18%

Score analysis

Boulogne 26.13%
Draw 24.3%
Montpellier HSC 49.54%
Boulogne
1-0 @ 7.11% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.17% (-0.05)
Total : 26.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.3%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 10.45% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.28% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.51% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35%
Other @ 8.75%
Total : 49.54%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 23, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT