Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Armand-Césari

Bastia vs Nancy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.00pm
Bastia 0 - 2 Montpellier
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Nancy

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.00pm
Nancy 1 - 3 Rodez AF
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Jeremy Gelin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bastia win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Nancy has a probability of 31.66% and a draw has a probability of 28.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Nancy win is 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.96%).

Result

Bastia 39.88% (-0.03)
Draw 28.46%
Nancy 31.66% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.12% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.18% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.82% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.62%
Under 2.5 57.35%
Over 3.5 21.64% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.36% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.53% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.47% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Bastia 30.82%
Draw 45.87%
Nancy 23.32%

Team To Score First

Bastia 47.87%
No Goal 9.71%
Nancy 42.42%

Corners

Over 8 47.89%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 40.11%
Over 9 36.57%
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 52.11%
Over 10.5 26.74%
Under 10.5 73.26%

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 35.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.51% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.25% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.91%
Under 3.5 96.09%

Nancy Goals

Over 0.5 64.16% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.84% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.02% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.49% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.51% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.44% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.56% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bastia 39.87%
Draw 28.46%
Nancy 31.66%
Bastia
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 39.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 28.46%
Nancy
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.36% (+0.01)
Total : 31.66%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 28, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Coupe de France
Nov 29, 2024 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Amine Boutrah 8' goal
  • Cyrille Loic Onana Etoga 15' yellowcard
  • Amine Boutrah 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Evans 2'
  • redcard Brandon Bokangou 8'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 15, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thomas Basila 25' goal
  • Andrew Jung 42' yellowcard
  • Sieben Dewaele 49' yellowcard
  • Andrew Jung 90' goal
  • yellowcard Anthony Roncaglia 31'
  • goal Idriss Saadi 85'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 3
Aug 11, 2021 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Idriss Saadi 12' goal
  • Joris Sainati 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Schur 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaquil Delos 19'
  • goal Mamadou Thiam 76'
Coupe de la Ligue
Aug 8, 2017 5.30pm
Ligue 1
Jan 14, 2017 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diallo Guidileye 24' yellowcard
  • Alou Diarra 29' yellowcard
  • Issiar Dia 59' goal
  • redcard Allan Saint-Maximin 86'