Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.12% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%) , while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.