Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.