Ligue 2 Gameweek 27
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Armand-Césari
  • Florian Bohnert 46' yellowcard
  • Ruben Beliandjou 59' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Zaouai 59' yellowcard
  • Félix Tomi 59' yellowcard
  • Félix Tomi 60' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Zaouai 60' yellowcard
  • Christophe Vincent 67' yellowcard
  • Jocelyn Janneh 85' yellowcard
  • goal Amine El Farissi 23'
  • yellowcard Jonas Martin 68'
  • yellowcard Sonny Duflos 68'
  • yellowcard Martin Lecolier 68'
  • yellowcard Aurélien Platret 74'
  • yellowcard Gabin Capuano 83'

Bastia vs Boulogne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 2 - 2 Bastia
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Boulogne

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Boulogne 4 - 2 Amiens
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Amine El Farissi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Boulogne had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Boulogne win was 0-1 (11.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Bastia 37.71%
Draw 29.86%
Boulogne 32.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.28% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.81%
Under 1.5 36.19%
Over 2.5 37.2% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 62.8% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.4%
Under 3.5 82.6%
Over 4.5 8.23% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.77% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bastia 29.22%
Draw 46.17%
Boulogne 24.6%

Team To Score First

Bastia 47.05%
No Goal 11.66% (-0.01)
Boulogne 41.29% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 46.7%
Equal 8 12.54%
Under 8 40.76%
Over 9 34.99%
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 53.3%
Over 10.5 24.97%
Under 10.5 75.03%

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 30.79%
Under 1.5 69.21%
Over 2.5 10.39%
Under 2.5 89.61%
Over 3.5 2.83%
Under 3.5 97.17%

Boulogne Goals

Over 0.5 62.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.27% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.87% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.13% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.31% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.09%
Under 3.5 97.91%

Score analysis

Bastia 37.72%
Draw 29.86%
Boulogne 32.42%
Bastia
1-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 37.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.58%
0-0 @ 11.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 29.86%
Boulogne
0-1 @ 11.64% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 16, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT