Ligue 2 Gameweek 27
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Armand-Césari

Bastia vs Boulogne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 2 - 2 Bastia
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Boulogne

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Boulogne 4 - 2 Amiens
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Amine El Farissi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bastia win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Boulogne has a probability of 32.43% and a draw has a probability of 29.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Boulogne win is 0-1 (11.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.57%).

Result

Bastia 37.71% (+0.07)
Draw 29.86% (-0.04)
Boulogne 32.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.25% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.77% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 36.23% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 37.17% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 62.83% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 17.4% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 82.6% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 8.24% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 91.76% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Bastia 29.22%
Draw 46.17%
Boulogne 24.6%

Team To Score First

Bastia 47.04% (+0.04)
No Goal 11.69% (-0.06)
Boulogne 41.27% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.7% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.54% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.76% (-0.04)
Over 9 34.99% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 9 53.3% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 24.97% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 75.03% (-0.02)

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 30.77% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 69.23% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 10.38% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.62% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.82% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.18% (-0.03)

Boulogne Goals

Over 0.5 62.7% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.3% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.86% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.14% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 8.31% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.08% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bastia 37.71%
Draw 29.86%
Boulogne 32.42%
Bastia
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.81% (+0.04)
Total : 37.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.57% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.69% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.86%
Boulogne
0-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 16, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT