Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Marcel-Tribut

Dunkerque vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
Amiens 0 - 0 Dunkerque
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Thomas Robinet

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
Bastia 0 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunkerque win with a probability of 46.2%. A draw has a probability of 29.06% and a win for Bastia has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Bastia win it is 0-1 (9.15%).

Result

Dunkerque 46.2% (-0.04)
Draw 29.06%
Bastia 24.7% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.3%
Under 1.5 34.7%
Over 2.5 39.61%
Under 2.5 60.39%
Over 3.5 19.57%
Under 3.5 80.43%
Over 4.5 9.89%
Under 4.5 90.11%

First Half Winner

Dunkerque 34.2%
Draw 46.76%
Bastia 19.04%

Team To Score First

Dunkerque 54.12%
No Goal 11.65%
Bastia 34.23%

Corners

Over 8 50.14%
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 37.72%
Over 9 38.49%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 49.86%
Over 10.5 28.22%
Under 10.5 71.78%

Dunkerque Goals

Over 1.5 38.33% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.67% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.19%
Under 2.5 84.81%
Over 3.5 4.76%
Under 3.5 95.24%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 56.51% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 43.49% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 22.34% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.66% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.46%
Under 3.5 98.54%

Score analysis

Dunkerque 46.21%
Draw 29.06%
Bastia 24.71%
Dunkerque
1-0 @ 13.88%
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 46.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 29.06%
Bastia
0-1 @ 9.15% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 3, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 28
Mar 28, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Christophe Vincent 2' goal
  • Jocelyn Janneh 8' yellowcard
  • Gustave Akueson 43' yellowcard
  • Maxime Ble 70' goal
  • Julien Maggiotti 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ugo Raghouber 22'
  • yellowcard Yacine Bammou 32'
  • yellowcard Abner 77'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Marcel-Tribut
  • Yacine Bammou 65' goal
  • Yirigue Foungognan Sekongo 83' goal
  • goal Amine Boutrah 36'
  • yellowcard Juan Jose Guevara Possu 44'
  • yellowcard Cyrille Loic Onana Etoga 60'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Florian Bianchini 9' goal
  • Christophe Vincent 51' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Bardeli 45'+4'
  • goal Nehemiah Fernandez 80'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Marcel-Tribut
  • Yohan Bilingi 35' yellowcard
  • Achraf Laaziri 59' yellowcard
  • Opa Sangante 76' yellowcard
  • goal Yllan Okou 2'
  • goal Migouel Alfarela 13'
  • yellowcard Regis Brouard 36'
  • yellowcard Florian Bohnert 45'+2'
  • goal Migouel Alfarela 68'
  • goal Felix Tomi 89'
  • goal Migouel Alfarela 90'+2'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominique Guidi 14' yellowcard
  • Amine Talal 21' goal
  • Lloyd Palun 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Roncaglia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Santelli 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alioune Ba 2'