Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 46.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.06% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%) , while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.