Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Pau had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.