Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.06%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Amiens win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.