Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Pau had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%).