Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.