Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.