Ligue 2 Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de Paris

Red Star vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
Rodez AF 1 - 1 Red Star
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Bradley Danger

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
Laval 0 - 1 Pau
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Giovani Versini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Star win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Pau has a probability of 31.42% and a draw has a probability of 28.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Pau win is 0-1 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.72%).

Result

Red Star 40.51%
Draw 28.07% (-0.04)
Pau 31.42% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.79% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 30.21% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 44.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.12%
Under 3.5 76.88%
Over 4.5 11.7% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.3% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Red Star 34.37% (+0.01)
Draw 42.51% (-0.02)
Pau 23.12%

Team To Score First

Red Star 48.82%
No Goal 9.38%
Pau 41.8%

Corners

Over 8 50.64%
Equal 8 12.31%
Under 8 37.05%
Over 9 38.77%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 49.36%
Over 10.5 28.29%
Under 10.5 71.71%

Red Star Goals

Over 1.5 36.96% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.04% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 14.39% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.46%
Under 3.5 95.54%

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 64.51% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.49% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.86% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.14% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.99% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.69%
Under 3.5 97.31%

Score analysis

Red Star 40.52%
Draw 28.08%
Pau 31.42%
Red Star
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.4% (+0.02)
Total : 40.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 28.08%
Pau
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Total : 31.42%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 12, 2025 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 19
Jan 17, 2025 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de Paris
  • Damien Durand 43' goal
  • Aliou Badji 88' yellowcard
  • Robin Risser 88' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Mille 20'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 34'
  • goal Pathe Mboup 61'
  • goal Kouadio Ahoussou 70'
  • yellowcard Aliou Badji 90'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Ahoussou 90'+4'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 14
Nov 22, 2024 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Pathe Mboup 11' goal
  • Therence Koudou 63' yellowcard
  • Pathe Mboup 76' goal
  • Oumar Ngom 79' goal
  • Kandet Diawara 90'+4' goal
  • goal Joachim Eickmayer 13'
  • yellowcard Aliou Badji 85'