Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 43.04%. A draw had a probability of 32.22% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.77%) , while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.