Ligue 2
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Paul Lignon
  • Taïryk Arconte 24' yellowcard
  • Wilitty Younoussa 68' yellowcard
  • Mathis Saka 68' yellowcard
  • Mathis Saka 69' yellowcard
  • Wilitty Younoussa 69' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Baldé 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Baaloudj 88' yellowcard
  • Alexis Trouillet 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joachim Eickmayer 40'
  • yellowcard Amine Boutrah 59'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Merghem 59'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 76'
  • yellowcard Ruben Beliandjou 77'
  • yellowcard Félix Tomi 77'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 77'
  • yellowcard Christophe Vincent 85'

Rodez AF vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodez AF

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
Reims 1 - 2 Rodez AF
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Ibrahima Balde

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
Bastia 0 - 1 Boulogne
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 43.04%. A draw had a probability of 32.22% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.77%) , while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Rodez AF 43.04% (-0.04)
Draw 32.22%
Bastia 24.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

37.17% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 56.61% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 43.39% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 30.44% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 69.56% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.57% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 86.41%
Over 4.5 6.55% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 93.45% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rodez AF 29.92%
Draw 46.79%
Bastia 23.29%

Team To Score First

Rodez AF 46.06% (-0.01)
No Goal 15.77% (+0.02)
Bastia 38.17% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.7%
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 31.15%
Over 9 44.4%
Equal 9 12.3%
Under 9 43.3%
Over 10.5 33.04%
Under 10.5 66.96%

Rodez AF Goals

Over 1.5 30.63% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 69.37% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.22% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.84% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.16% (+0.01)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 51.89% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 48.11% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.87% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 81.13% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.44% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.33% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.67% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rodez AF 43.04%
Draw 32.21%
Bastia 24.75%
Rodez AF
1-0 @ 16.98%
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.04%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.77% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 32.21%
Bastia
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.75%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 23, 2025 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Paul Lignon
  • Ibrahima Balde 24' yellowcard
  • Loni Quenabio 26' yellowcard
  • Wilitty Younoussa 30' yellowcard
  • Eric Vandenabeele 62' yellowcard
  • Till Cissokho 69' yellowcard
  • goal Lamine Cisse 15'
  • yellowcard Anthony Roncaglia 24'
  • yellowcard Tom Meynadier 50'
  • goal Maxime Ble 88'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Lamine Cisse 16' goal
  • Clement Rodrigues 51' goal
  • Jocelyn Janneh 68' yellowcard
  • Christophe Vincent 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Waniss Taibi 29'
  • goal Timothee NKada 37'
  • yellowcard Loni Laurent 73'
  • yellowcard Stone Mambo 89'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Marcel Roustan
Ligue 2 Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Christophe Vincent 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Migouel Alfarela 68' yellowcard
  • Florian Bianchini 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Haag 35'
  • goal Andreas Hountondji 55'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Haag 90'+6'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Paul Lignon
  • Clement Depres 67' goal
  • Lorenzo Rajot 73' yellowcard
  • goal Facinet Conte 3'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 55'
  • yellowcard Johny Placide 74'