Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Paul Lignon

Rodez AF vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodez AF

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
Clermont 0 - 0 Rodez AF
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Ibrahima Balde

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 1.00pm
Montpellier 0 - 0 Le Mans
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rodez AF win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 32.21% and a draw has a probability of 28.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 0-1 (10.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).

Result

Rodez AF 39.48% (-0.05)
Draw 28.31%
Montpellier HSC 32.21% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.71% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.29% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 42.69%
Under 2.5 57.31%
Over 3.5 21.52%
Under 3.5 78.48%
Over 4.5 10.59%
Under 4.5 89.41%

First Half Winner

Rodez AF 30.21%
Draw 46.45%
Montpellier HSC 23.34%

Team To Score First

Rodez AF 47.46% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.32% (+0.01)
Montpellier HSC 43.22%

Corners

Over 8 61.82%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 26.9%
Over 9 49.94%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 38.18%
Over 10.5 38.51%
Under 10.5 61.49%

Rodez AF Goals

Over 1.5 35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.98% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.76% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.24% (+0.01)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 65.06% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.94% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.72% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.28% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.4% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.6% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rodez AF 39.48%
Draw 28.32%
Montpellier HSC 32.21%
Rodez AF
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.71% (-0.02)
Total : 39.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.32%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.4% (+0.01)
Total : 32.21%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 31, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Coupe de France
Jan 5, 2014 1.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Damien Rascle 65' yellowcard
  • Hugo Bobek 77' yellowcard
  • Joris Chougrani 90' yellowcard
  • goal Teddy Mezague 10'
  • yellowcard Remy Cabella 53'
  • goal M'Baye Niang 65'