Ligue 2 Gameweek 23
Feb 14, 2026 1.00pm
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier HSC vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
St Etienne 0 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 1.00pm
Le Mans 0 - 0 Laval
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Antoine Rabillard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Le Mans has a probability of 36.32% and a draw has a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Le Mans win is 0-1 (9.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 36.52% (+0.07)
Draw 27.16% (+0.09)
Le Mans 36.32% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.39% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.65% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 47.54%
Under 2.5 52.46% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.95% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.05% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.1%
Under 4.5 86.9%

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 27.64% (-0.04)
Draw 41.43% (-0.05)
Le Mans 30.93% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 41.2% (+0.34)
No Goal 8.25% (+0.01)
Le Mans 50.55% (-0.35)

Corners

Over 8 56.95% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.66% (-0.04)
Under 8 31.39% (+0.09)
Over 9 45.14% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.81% (-0.04)
Under 9 43.05% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 34.18% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.82% (-0.04)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 35.14% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 64.86% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 13.4% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 86.6% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96% (-0.05)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 31.08% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.27% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 64.73% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.2% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.8% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.01% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.99% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 36.51%
Draw 27.15%
Le Mans 36.32%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.26% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.87% (+0.03)
Total : 36.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13% (+0.03)
Total : 27.15%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.88% (-0.05)
Total : 36.32%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT