Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier HSC vs Guingamp - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.00pm
Bastia 0 - 2 Montpellier
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Guingamp

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 1.00pm
Guingamp 0 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Amadou Samoura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guingamp win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 33.05% and a draw has a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 2-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.66%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 33.05%
Draw 24.15%
Guingamp 42.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.93% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.6% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.4% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 57.78% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.81% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.19% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.2% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.8% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 23.45%
Draw 39.86%
Guingamp 36.69%

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 40.11%
No Goal 5.47%
Guingamp 54.42%

Corners

Over 8 55.15%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 33.57%
Over 9 43.88%
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 44.85%
Over 10.5 33.52%
Under 10.5 66.48%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 37.4% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.6% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.83% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.7% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.3% (-0.02)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5 75.19% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.81% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.64% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.36% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.22% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.07% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.93% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 33.05%
Draw 24.16%
Guingamp 42.8%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 7.34%
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74%
3-0 @ 2.18%
Other @ 5.47%
Total : 33.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.23% (+0.02)
Total : 24.16%
Guingamp
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33%
Other @ 7.84% (+0.01)
Total : 42.8%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Sep 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2019 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
  • Andy Delort 22' goal
  • Mihailo Ristic 78' goal
  • yellowcard Mehdi Merghem 67'
  • yellowcard Cheick Traore 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2018 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)
  • Marcus Thuram 7' redcard
  • Nicolas Benezet 64' goal
  • goal Andy Delort 30'
  • yellowcard Ambroise Oyongo 31'
  • yellowcard Florent Mollet 38'
  • redcard Florent Mollet 39'
Ligue 1
Feb 17, 2018 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
  • Paul Lasne 72' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Sio 73' goal
  • goal Yeni Atito N'Gbakoto 30'
  • yellowcard Clement Grenier 32'
Ligue 1
Nov 29, 2017 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)
  • Yannis Salibur 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giovanni Sio 31'
  • yellowcard Pedro Mendes 60'
  • yellowcard Isaac Mbenza 90'
Coupe de la Ligue
Oct 24, 2017 8.05pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcus Coco 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Solomon Sambia 2'
  • goal Souleymane Camara 20'
  • yellowcard Ellyes Skhiri 54'
  • goal Casimir Ninga 71'