Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 41.25%. A draw had a probability of 32.52% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.52%) , while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (11.19%).