Ligue 2 Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2026 1.00pm
Stade de Paris

Red Star vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
Red Star 0 - 0 Laval
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kévin Cabral

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
Bastia 1 - 1 Amiens
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Jeremy Sebas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Star win with a probability of 41.25%. A draw has a probability of 32.52% and a win for Bastia has a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win is 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (15.52%) , while for a Bastia win it is 0-1 (11.19%).

Result

Red Star 41.25% (-0.08)
Draw 32.52% (+0.04)
Bastia 26.23% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.88% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 57.29% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 42.71% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 31.04% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 68.96% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 13.54% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 86.46% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 6.19% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 93.81% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Red Star 30.18%
Draw 46.99%
Bastia 22.83%

Team To Score First

Red Star 47.4% (-0.03)
No Goal 15.52% (+0.04)
Bastia 37.08% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45.26% (-0.18)
Equal 8 12.7% (-0.02)
Under 8 42.04% (+0.19)
Over 9 33.53% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.73% (-0.03)
Under 9 54.74% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 23.62% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 76.38% (+0.11)

Red Star Goals

Over 1.5 29.93% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 70.07% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.78% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.22% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.56% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.44% (+0.04)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 54.28% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 45.72% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 80% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 5.42% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 94.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.23% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.77% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Red Star 41.26%
Draw 32.51%
Bastia 26.23%
Red Star
1-0 @ 16% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49% (-0.03)
Total : 41.26%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.52% (+0.04)
1-1 @ 13.19% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 32.51%
Bastia
0-1 @ 11.19% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Total : 26.23%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Dec 5, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
Aband.
  • Christophe Vincent 5' yellowcard
  • Christophe Vincent 6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Durivaux 23'
  • yellowcard Saif-Eddine Khaoui 41'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 21, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Christ Ravynel Inao Oulai 7' yellowcard
  • Johny Placide 46' yellowcard
  • Amine Boutrah 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sebas 68' goal
  • Florian Bohnert 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryad Hachem 36'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Paris
  • Jose Dembi 32' yellowcard
  • Gregory Poirier 33' yellowcard
  • Meyepya Fongain 35' yellowcard
  • Hiang'a Mbock 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Merwan Ifnaoui 65' yellowcard
  • Ryad Hachem 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clement Rodrigues 56'
  • yellowcard Cyrille Loic Onana Etoga 73'
  • yellowcard Felix Tomi 90'+4'